FOrest Resource Outlook Model (FOROM)

The Forest Resource Outlook Model (FOROM) is a sophisticated dynamic model designed to provide detailed projections at the country level within the global forest sector. It offers insights into future market dynamics such as price trends, production levels, consumption patterns, and trade flows for both primary and secondary forest products across a spectrum of socioeconomic and climatic scenarios. Additionally, the model predicts shifts in forest area, inventory levels, and carbon flux.

Noteworthy is its capacity to incorporate adjustments to forest inventory based on specified productivity changes influenced by climate change and greenhouse gas accumulations. FOROM serves as a valuable tool to explore diverse potential futures for the global forest products sector under varying socioeconomic and climatic conditions.

Long run projections of the global forest products market

  • Global softwood industrial roundwood consumption

    By scenario

  • Softwood industrial roundwood consumption by region

    SSP2/RCP8.5

  • Global hardwood industrial roundwood consumption

    By scenario

  • Hardwood industrial roundwood consumption by region

    SSP2/RCP8.5

  • Global consumption of printing and writing paper, and newsprint

    By scenario

  • Consumption of printing and writing paper, and newsprint by region

    SSP2/RCP8.5

  • Global wood pellet consumption

    By scenario

  • Wood pellet consumption by region

    SSP2/RCP8.5

Research across multiple themes

  • Climate change

    Climate change affects the forest sector by altering CO2 levels, influencing net primary productivity, and impacting ecosystem dynamics.

  • Socioeconomic trends

    Socioeconomic trends influence the forest sector via GDP fluctuations, population dynamics, changing preferences, and technological advancements.

  • Policy

    Forest sector is impacted by policies such as bioenergy, tariffs, carbon taxes, and other measures which influence land use, resource extraction, and sustainability practices.

  • Disturbance

    Natural disturbances, like wildfires, wind, and insect outbreaks, profoundly impact the forest sector by altering ecosystem dynamics, biodiversity, and timber availability.

  • Carbon accounting

    The forest sector plays a crucial role in carbon flux, acting as both a carbon sink through absorption and a carbon source through deforestation and degradation.

  • Forest sector outlook

    The forest sector outlook study assesses current and future trends, challenges, and opportunities within the forestry industry.

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